This battle isn’t in the courts, like the eavesdropping case; it’s in the roped ring of a political slugfest. Various reports of the two’s debate this week revealed talking points and questionable reporting.
UVa. Professor Larry Sabato moderated. He said “Kilgore is not a natural debater [and] hopes to show that he is more likeable and more trustworthy….What Kilgore really wants to do, is to deny Kaine ‘Warner’s second term.'”
Maybe Kilgore’s lack of debating prowess was why the event almost didn’t come off.
Kilgore threatened to pull out of the long-scheduled forum Monday because he objected to rules that changed from last year and would have allowed the two candidates to question each other. Sponsors yielded and dropped this proposal.
Kaine cited the eavesdropping case and evidence that Kilgore tried to pursue a course of “plausible deniability” as proof that the attorney general couldn’t be trusted as a leader. Kilgore’s response: “He is beating a dead horse. We turned the situation over to the authorities. We’ve moved on.” Well, yeah, I’ll bet he’d like to move on. Sabato thinks voters will.
Both candidates are pandering to the intolerant right on the gay issue, although Kaine says he doesn’t think a gay marriage amendment is needed. Kilgore believes gay are born that way.
He said they adopt that lifestyle by choice.
Both said they would like to see a total repeal of the car tax and supported elimination of the tax when they ran for office in 2001.
The reporting was both good and bad. AP writer Bob Lewis leads with
Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican Jerry Kilgore effectively began a bitter 11-month battle for governor Wednesday, evoking a dying Republican scandal and implying a liberal Democratic agenda on gay rights and capital punishment in often seething exchanges.
A “dying” scandal? The transcripts that revealed the degree to which Kilgore tried to knowing what an AG should know were released this week. And the scandal is “dying”? If it speaks to Kilgore’s honesty, it should be a live question. Perhaps Gibson has already moved on.
The political intelligentsia has.
“It could have a negative impact on the Democratic side if they push it too far,” Matt Smyth of the University of Virginia Center for Politics told The Augusta Free Press.
“If they push this too much on the voters, there could be a backlash,” Smyth said on Thursday, a day after presumptive ’05 Democratic Party gubernatorial nominee Tim Kaine, Virginia’s lieutenant governor, grilled Kilgore on the 2002 political eavesdropping case in which former state GOP executive director Ed Matricardi played a starring role at a joint candidate forum in Richmond.
“That’s one of the unknowns in politics. Negative campaigning is proven to work, but there is a fine line between having something be effective and coming across as a bully. The problem is that it is never easy to tell where that line is,” Smyth said.
James Madison University political-science professor Bob Roberts, for his part, isn’t so sure that the issue can play even a minor role in aiding the Kaine campaign.
“This is where campaigns make mistakes,” Roberts told the AFP on Thursday. “They assume that Watergate can happen again, and really, the evidence suggests otherwise. No one involved in the major political scandals that we’ve seen since Watergate has been adversely affected by it, from President Clinton on down.”
“Unfortunately, it doesn’t have anything to do with the future of Virginia. It doesn’t have anything to do with jobs or education or anything like that. But that’s politics,” Smyth said.
That is the same message being trumpeted by the Kilgore campaign.
Did either one of these guys see the Swift Boat ads or minimize the imp[act they had on the presidential campaign? The GOP consulting firm Public Opinion Strategies thinks scandal works.
Kudos to Michael Sluss who corrects the record.
The political rivals also renewed their long-running dispute over tax increases passed earlier this year by the General Assembly and signed by Democratic Gov. Mark Warner. Kilgore said a projected surplus of $1 billion validates his staunch opposition to the tax package, which will generate at least $1.3 billion in new revenue over two years.
“You just raised taxes, you didn’t do reform,” Kilgore said.
The tax package included increases in the sales tax on goods and the excise tax on cigarettes. But Kaine noted that it also eliminated the so-called “marriage penalty” on the income tax and required a gradual reduction in the sales tax on groceries. And the new revenue will fund overdue investments in schools and other essential services, Kaine argued.
Citing Kaine’s response to the “didn’t do reform” comment is the way to debunk misrepresentations.
The Washington Times makes sure the lead incites the right.
Virginia Lt. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine and Attorney General Jerry W. Kilgore yesterday agreed that marriage should only be between a man and a woman, but only Mr. Kilgore said the state constitution should be amended to enforce that distinction.
And the paper’s story puts the phone scandal in the best light.
According to his deposition, three days after the first call, Mr. Kilgore’s office alerted the state police to the eavesdropping. No one told the Democrats their second call was about to be intercepted.
Mr. Kaine said the attorney general was not showing leadership. But Mr. Kilgore asserted that were it not for his office, the crime would never have been reported to police.
Bob Gibson of the Charlottesville Daily Progress writes,
Kaine, a Richmond Democrat, accused a defensive Kilgore of refusing to hear information that came to his top aides about a GOP official’s eavesdropping on a Democratic conference call and intent to listen in on another a few days later, which happened in March 2002.
I can see writing that Kilgore angrily replied or stumbled over his response, if either was the case. But to characterize Kilgore as “defensive” is a judgement call I don’t think reporters should make.
In a column last weekend, Jeff Schapiro notes the people Kilgore is surrounding himself with.
Kilgore’s lopsidedly male privy council is virtually unchanged since his victory for attorney general in 2001 in his second try for that office.
This worries some Republicans, though they say so only privately, fearing that going public might bring out the vengeful side of Kilgore’s handlers, all of whom are schooled in rough-and-tumble politics.
The concern: The Kilgore team, winning record notwithstanding, is weighted to the right and wedded to ideas – not to mention the means of communicating them – that may be wrong for the candidate, the GOP and the state.
Further, this potentially makes it trickier for Kilgore to reach beyond his conservative base and more difficult for moderate Republicans and independents to embrace him.
“It will be a real measure of Jerry whether he can control the people he’s hired,” a veteran Republican activist said.
…[I]s Kilgore attempting to pass for a moderate, if only to woo those Northern Virginia infidels with very deep pockets?
Kilgore operatives hint that this might include a finance chairman with ties to Democratic Gov. Mark R. Warner, whose high standing with the GOP-leaning business elite was solidified in winning, over Kilgore’s opposition, a $1.4 billion tax increase for police, schools and human services.
Republican centrists in the General Assembly may take some comfort in the selection of Ken Hutcheson as campaign manager. He’s tight with the Senate “Gang of Five” who sided with Warner in the tax fight.
But this would seem little more than good cop, bad cop.
Consider the new face in the Kilgore crew, Scott Howell, the television advertising specialist: He started in South Carolina, not known for genteel politics; worked for Lee Atwater, who was anything but a scoutmaster; and helped take out U.S. Sens. Max Cleland of Georgia in 2002 and, this year, Tom Daschle, the Democratic leader from South Dakota.
One of Howell’s ads on behalf of Cleland’s opponent, Saxby Chambliss, was notorious. It questioned Cleland’s patriotism, juxtaposing a Democrat who lost his legs and an arm in Vietnam with Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein.
In Virginia, Howell will again face the Democratic TV consultant he bested in Georgia and South Carolina. Karl Struble, who worked for Cleland and Daschle, counts Tim Kaine among his clients. Struble has got to hope the third time is the charm.
Throw in John McLaughlin, Kilgore’s nationally prominent poll taker, and you have a front line with a knack for the hard-edged.
While reports on the debate describe it as nasty and negative, the Daily Press asks, “Does good theater make for good politics?”
Sure. Some reports called the Kilgore-Kaine performance “negative and nasty.” It was not. It was pointed, robust and exuberant. These two guys don’t agree with each other. A lot. So we’re going to flesh things out and have ourselves somethin’ of a foot-stompin’ campaign. Wonderful.
The two candidates will try their best to define each other in the worst possible terms. That has been standard American campaign practice for more than 200 years. Democrats will at least be encouraged that their likely candidate, Kaine, was the bulldog in this week’s affair.
“I will not let anybody make up stuff about my record and lob it in from long distance without responding,” Kaine said about zingers Kilgore recently loosed during a Republican retreat held at The Homestead. “I look forward to sessions like this because I like being in the same room with the guy who will attack me and make up stuff about my record.”
The Press also thinks defending death row inmates, which Kilgore “accused” Kaine of doing, is something acclaimed American lawyers have done for centuries.
Why those noxious British troops who slaughtered Americans on the streets of Boston in 1770, thereafter referred to as the Boston Massacre.
Said Adams of his act: “It was, however, one of the most gallant, generous, manly and disinterested actions of my whole life, and one of the best pieces of service I ever rendered my country.”
The Roanoke Times thinks it’s besides the point.
Regardless of who is elected, Virginia will retain the death penalty, and gun rights won’t be threatened. Kilgore was not a party to the Republican eavesdropping scandal. If Roe v. Wade is overturned, it won’t happen in Richmond.
State fiscal policy may be a cold-button issue. But unlike the above, it is a genuine issue.
On this score, neither candidate inspires total confidence. Kilgore, however, is giving particular pause.
A prospective $1 billion surplus this biennium, Kilgore asserts, proves this year’s tax increases were unneeded. But a car-tax budgeting glitch, rising Medicaid costs, legally required partial replenishment of the “rainy day” fund and a sorely needed, if temporary, funding infusion for transportation all have strong claims on that surplus.
How well shall Virginia stay on fiscal course, so it can effectively and efficiently provide basic services at a reasonably high level of quality? The question transcends the two Virginias and deserves to be at the heart of the forthcoming campaign.