{"id":259,"date":"2009-06-10T12:05:27","date_gmt":"2009-06-10T16:05:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/000af36.netsolhost.com\/wordpress1\/2009\/06\/10\/dems-decide-to-win\/"},"modified":"2009-06-10T12:05:27","modified_gmt":"2009-06-10T16:05:27","slug":"dems-decide-to-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/2009\/06\/10\/dems-decide-to-win\/","title":{"rendered":"Dems Decide to Win"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Creigh Deeds victory in the Virginia gubernatorial primary has been described as \u201cstunning.\u201d&#160; An afterthought to the battle between better known names in Democratic circles, Deeds is still being dissed by The Washington Post\u2019s Roz Helderman:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Deeds lives in a sparsely populated county on the West Virginia border, a heritage that brings with it a stammering, unpolished earnestness. His adversaries have been poking fun at recent TV commercials featuring him staring silently into the camera &#8212; suggesting that Northern Virginians might be turned off merely by his heavy drawl.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>A drawl and roots in rural America didn\u2019t exactly make Bill Clinton, Jimmy Carter or LBJ unelectable.&#160; And remember that the opposite of unpolished is slick, rarely spoken as an attribute by voters.<\/p>\n<p>The breath of Deeds victory is astonishing.&#160; A quick review of the results show that he won all but five counties and six cities.&#160; His margin of victory in northern Virginia must give the Democratic establishment pause.&#160; Conventional wisdom is that only hardest core Democrats vote in primaries and vote for the most liberal of candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Northern Virginia wasn\u2019t \u201cturned off merely by his heavy drawl.\u201d&#160; ANd he had an advantage in a three-way race as the two front-runenrs attacked each other, a strategy the country bumpkin had <a href=\"http:\/\/waldo.jaquith.org\/blog\/2009\/06\/underestimating-creigh-deeds\/\">already previewed to Waldo Jaquith<\/a>.&#160; Patience, <a href=\"http:\/\/virginiatomorrow.com\/2009\/06\/09\/patience\/\">as Bob Holsworth noted<\/a>, worked.&#160; Voters didn\u2019t like what they heard about the two other guys.&#160; As since when is \u201cearnestness\u201d a character flaw?<\/p>\n<p>But importantly, even the most liberal Virginia Dems decided, to their credit, to vote with their head, not their heart.&#160; In short, they decided that more than anything, they want to <em>win <\/em>the governor\u2019s mansion one more time.&#160; Neither McAuliffe, who frequently came off as a used car salesman, or Moran, who mistakenly went even farther left during the campaign, had much chance of winning in November.&#160; Deeds does.<\/p>\n<p>One challenge Deeds will have is to overcome his \u201cconservative\u201d label that the media will inevitably tag him with, as if the man still supports Jim Crow laws.&#160; He was fearless in advocating for transportation soplutions, including a gas tax, that probably weren\u2019t paramount in his neck of the owods.&#160; People in&#160; Bath County don\u2019t have hour long commutes generally.&#160; Constantly calling him a conservative might surpress Democratic voter turnout.&#160; They need enthusiasm.<\/p>\n<p>Another challenge will be to redefine Bob McDonnell.&#160; It\u2019s not hard to do, but is Deeds up for negative campaigning?&#160; CAn he redifine McDonnell as teh right-wing zealot that he is, and will that be enough to energize Democrats and pull in a number of independents and moderate Republicans.&#160; If he can, it will be a huge advantage.&#160; People who attend Regent University, Pat Robertson\u2019s law school, are surely among the nicest, but you don\u2019t want them running your government.&#160; I remain hopeful that Deeds, in his \u201cstammering\u201d style, will be able to cut MCDonnell down to size, with a smile.<\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s apparent that the gun issue has lost its attraction to liberals.&#160; Many may feel as I do.&#160; I don\u2019t want guns in bars, or AK-47s sold in bulk to anyone with cash.&#160; But the bigger problem is keeping out of the hands of criminals, and I no longer think stricter gun laws can achieve that.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m not sure that after so much of the Democratic Party establishment ignored Deeds, he will do well to ignore them in crafting his general election campaign.&#160; All the slick brochures in the world won\u2019t overcome major flaws.&#160; And maybe he has <a href=\"http:\/\/voices.washingtonpost.com\/virginiapolitics\/2009\/06\/the_clickocracy_virginia_editi.html\">a more sophisticated way of getting to voters<\/a> than leaders of the party, who still save all their pennies for direct mail, and can\u2019t think strategically.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Creigh Deeds victory in the Virginia gubernatorial primary has been described as \u201cstunning.\u201d&#160; An afterthought to the battle between better known names in Democratic circles, Deeds is still being dissed by The Washington Post\u2019s Roz Helderman: Deeds lives in a sparsely populated county on the West Virginia border, a heritage that brings with it a&hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/2009\/06\/10\/dems-decide-to-win\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[37,93,95],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=259"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/griendling.com\/wordpress1\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}