Post reporters: Do the Math.

Potts’s top campaign strategist said the senator will start with Fitch’s 17 percent of the vote and will build on that with Democrats, independents and moderate Republicans to get to the 34 percent he needs in a three-way race to win.

If Potts gets 34% he will probably win, but if elementary math serves me, he can lose with 34% of the vote, if say, Kaine gets 35% and Kilgore 31%.