Bush backed away from saying the CIA was “just guessing” in a gloomy July forecast for Iraq, but again dismissed the US intelligence community’s warnings that the country might at best only cling to tenuous stability.

“This is a report that talks about possibilities about what can happen in Iraq, not probabilities. I used an unfortunate word, ‘guess.’ I should have used, ‘estimate,” he said.

“The CIA came and said, ‘This is a possibility, this is a possibility, and this is a possibility.’ But what’s important for the American people to hear is reality,” said Bush.

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